Homebuyer Demand Remains Strong in September
October 17, 2016
DENVER (Oct. 17, 2016) – Though posting a typical seasonal dropoff from August, September’s U.S. home sales represented the most of any September in the 9-year history of the RE/MAX National Housing Report. Home sales dropped 11.7% from August to September – nearly the same as the 11.0% average decline over the previous eight years of the Report. But sales increased 2.0% over September 2015 which had previously been the best September.
The September Median Sales Price of $219,780 was 5.1% above a year ago. And in a rare occurrence, not a single metro posted a year-over-year price drop. The largest price gains were reported in Birmingham, AL (17.0%) and Miami (15.2%). The average Months Supply of Inventory rose from 3.4 in August to 3.9, the highest since February. But it is still far below the 6 months supply considered to be a market balanced equally between buyers and sellers. Eight markets, predominantly in the Northeast, have a 6 or more month supply. Meanwhile, 19 have 3 months or less, with the majority being in the West.
“The market usually sees fewer home sales in September, as buyers make a seasonal transition from summer to fall,”said Dave Liniger, RE/MAX CEO, Chairman of the Board and Co-Founder. “Even so, sales were the highest of any September since we launched our Housing Report in 2008. Also, price increases continue to be in the moderate 5-percent year-over-year range. Overall, this is a market that most everyone can be satisfied with.”
In the 52 metro areas surveyed in September, the average number of home sales increased by 2.0% compared to one year ago, which makes the eighth month this year with a year-over-year increase in sales. This marks the strongest September of sales since the Report’s inception in 2008. However, September showed a 11.7% decrease from August, but this is in line with decreases in previous years. This month, 34 markets experienced an increase in sales year-over-year with 6 markets seeing double-digit increases. Those markets include Trenton, NJ, +17.9%, Augusta, ME, +14.1%, Des Moines, IA +13.6%, Raleigh & Durham, NC, +11.6%, Boise, ID +11.3% and Seattle, WA 10.6%.
Median Sales Price – Median of 52 metro median prices
In September, the median of all 52 metro Median Sales Prices was $219,780, down slightly at -3.1% from August 2016 and up 5.1% from September 2015. The median price in Providence, RI was unchanged from last year, but every other metro area in the report saw year-over-year price increases, with 12 rising by double-digit percentages. The largest double-digit increases were seen in Birmingham, AL +17.0%, Miami, FL +15.2%, Tampa, FL +14.6%, Portland, OR +14.5%, Denver, CO +13.1% and Boise, ID +12.6%.
Days on Market – Average of 52 metro areas
The average Days on Market for homes sold in September was 56, up two days from the average in August 2016, but down five days from September 2015. September becomes the 42nd consecutive month with a Days on Market average of 80 or less. The three metro areas with the lowest Days on Market are Omaha, Denver and San Francisco at 25, 27 and 28 respectively. The highest Days on Market averages continue to be in Augusta, ME at 128, and Des Moines, IA at 98. Days on Market is the number of days between when a home is first listed in an MLS and a sales contract is signed.
Months Supply of Inventory – Average of 52 metro areas
The number of homes for sale in September was down 2.6% from August, and down 15.1% from September 2015. Based on the rate of home sales in September, the Months Supply of Inventory was 3.9, compared to both last month and last year at 3.4 and 4.5 respectively. A 6.0-month supply indicates a market balanced equally between buyers and sellers. This month, only six metro areas reported a Months Supply of Inventory at 6.0 or above. The markets with the lowest Months Supply of Inventory are San Francisco, CA 1.6, Seattle, WA 1.7 and Denver at 1.7.
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The RE/MAX National Housing Report is distributed each month on or about the 15th. The first Report was distributed in August 2008. The Report is based on MLS data in approximately 52 metropolitan areas, includes all residential property types, and is not annualized. For maximum representation, many of the largest metro areas in the country are represented, and an attempt is made to include at least one metro from each state. Metro area definitions include the specific counties established by the U.S. Government’s Office of Management and Budget, with some exceptions.
Transactions are the total number of closed residential transactions during the given month. Months Supply of Inventory is the total number of residential properties listed for sale at the end of the month (current inventory) divided by the number of sales contracts signed (pended) during the month. Where “pended” data is unavailable, this calculation is made using closed transactions. Days on Market is the number of days that pass from the time a property is listed until the property goes under contract for all residential properties sold during the month. Median Sales Price is the median of the median sales prices in each of the metro areas included in the survey.
MLS data is provided by contracted data aggregators, RE/MAX brokerages and regional offices. While MLS data is believed to be accurate, it cannot be guaranteed. MLS data is constantly being updated, making any analysis a snapshot at a particular time. Every month the RE/MAX National Housing Report re-calculates the previous period’s data to ensure accuracy over time. All raw data remains the intellectual property of each local MLS organization.
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